US’ Tactical Review of the Iranian Nuclear Issue

27 January 2013 | 15:17 Code : 1912093 From the Other Media General category’s interview with Farhad Koleini, an expert on strategic affairs
US’ Tactical Review of the Iranian Nuclear Issue


- The US’ previous policy was that all options were on the table, and considering the fact that this policy continued within the framework of the quality of negotiations and relations between Iran and the P5+1, the US administration gradually appeared as a containing force against the behavior and literature of the Zionist regime.

- Consequently, US security officials travelled to Tel Aviv and warned the Zionist regime against any unilateral and out of the ordinary measures.

- Of course, some US politicians in the past had stressed the importance of a credible military threat against Iran and pointed out that under the present conditions this issue must be on the agenda in order to, in their opinion, manage the behavior of Iran's nuclear negotiations. 

- On the other hand, Obama has made changes in his security team and in the speeches made by John Kerry during the past days in the US Senate, he has emphasized the importance of diplomacy, negotiation, and the continuation of interaction between both parties and, apart from the issue of negotiations with the P5+1, he has implicitly demanded direct negotiations between the US and Iran.

- In response to some questions, John Kerry reiterated that "Today, all the issues cannot openly be proposed in the Senate committee." This statement shows that the US is reviewing its tactics to discover new paths with regard to Iran's nuclear issue.

- Therefore, the literature used has more emphasis on prevention rather than containment and the US, in this regard, believes that it must somehow change its tactics with regard to Iran. Of course, these changes had gradually begun in the former administration and that is why it is predicted that this issue will more strongly be proposed and discussed in the near future. 

- Thus, limited continuation of two-path policies, meaning pressure and negotiation, is still on the US agenda. They believe that they must deepen the impact of their sanction policies and, at the same time, while considering the results of these sanctions, follow their expectations to exert pressure on Iran to withdraw from its position.

- We are a long way from speculations made about a possible military confrontation between Iran and the US and this issue is still not the first priority of US foreign policy.

- The point that some international personalities, including Henry Kissinger, point out that there is the possibility that Iran's nuclear issue will reach its climax at a certain time, is rooted in their outlook and their affiliation to existing lobbies in the US and also their judgments based on the cold war mentality. 

- Thus, Kissinger expresses concern that the issue of weapons of mass destruction will be transformed into conventional weapons and assumes that there is the possibility that in the future nuclear weapons will be considered as part of classic wars and the region will practically enter a nuclear competition.

- Of course, he has had no serious look at Iran's positions and when Iran proposed the issue of a nuclear-free Middle East, he did not pay serious attention to it. This is while, if this proposal is aimed at controlling the concerns and competition in the geopolitics of the region and the international arena, the issue of regulation of sensitive and serious matters must be on the agenda and pursued based on fundamental collective participation.

- It seems that the West is still attempting to create a certain atmosphere and it has not yet reached a logical boundary and some obstacles in the US are artificially trying to prevent the formation of a logical approach.

- The dimensions of the psychological war have grown during recent years. From this aspect, the West is the first one that pursues the policy of Iran's deterioration and intends to deplete Iran of its capacities.

- The point that the West intends to follow Iran's nuclear issue based on a Hollywood film is considered more as an attempt to impact public opinion and prepare the grounds for a military measure. But pursuing a military measure, as a priority and a serious and active issue, is not on the present agenda and cannot be talked about with certainty.

- Mr. Obama and his new team must comprehend that in order to enter any arena, it is necessary to change the approach from confrontation to interaction and this is possible only by changing their behavior.

tags: iran nuclear

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